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A pile of Colombian 50,000-peso banknotes issued by the Banco de la República
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Grupo Cibest Expects Colombia to Raise Rates to 12.50% and the Fed to Hold

Analysts now see 2026 inflation at 6.83%, more than double the target, with another increase expected from both banks in December.
Posted On October 26, 2026
, By Loren Moss
Colombian 50,000-peso banknotes spread on a table
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Grupo Cibest Says Higher Fed Rates Would Limit Room for a Cheaper Dollar in Colombia

Futures price Fed rates at 4.50%–4.75% by mid-2027, which would cut another 75 basis points from the carry behind Colombia's strong peso.
Posted On October 2, 2026
, By Editorial Staff
Office towers in Bogotá, Colombia
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Grupo Cibest Cuts Colombia’s 2027 Growth Forecast as Fiscal Adjustment Tests the Investment Rebound

Grupo Cibest sees 2027 growth anywhere from 0.9% to 3.9% as El Niño, a 7.9% deficit and a 12% policy rate test the rebound.
Posted On September 28, 2026
, By Loren Moss
A driver filling up at their tank at the gas pump.
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Colombia’s Peso Rally Curbs Inflation Less Than a Selloff Would Fuel It, Bancolombia Finds

A weaker dollar hasn't given Colombians the price relief textbook economics predicts, and a peso reversal could hurt more.
Posted On September 14, 2026
, By Loren Moss
Construction workers on the job. According to the report, more formal employment are vulnerable to market changes, and workers are receiving a lower income relative to the minimum wage. Stock photo by Kevin Seibel via Pixabay.
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Bancolombia Analysts Warn Colombia’s Low Unemployment Masks Deteriorating Job Quality

While Colombia's jobless rate is low, analysts from Bancolombia say the jobs are vulnerably reliant on public spending, and lower-paying.
Posted On July 28, 2026
, By Elle F. Yap
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Grupo Cibest Cuts Colombia’s 2026 Growth Forecast to 2.6% as Inflation and Fiscal Risks Mount

The mid-year update also lifts the bank's policy-rate call to 12.75% and trims its peso forecast as remittances hit records.
Posted On July 13, 2026
, By Loren Moss
colombia inflation colombian peso
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Colombia’s Peso Rallies 7.4% in June as the Election Result Overrides a Hostile Global Backdrop

A stronger dollar and a 21% oil slump battered peers, yet Colombia's currency broke ranks. Bancolombia explains why - and where it goes next.
Posted On July 7, 2026
, By Loren Moss
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Bancolombia Says Colombia’s TES Rally Outruns a Fiscal Picture Its Own Government Plays Down

Colombia's TES curve rallied after the election, but Bancolombia warns the government's 5.3% deficit target looks too optimistic.
Posted On June 30, 2026
, By Loren Moss
Colombian Peso.
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Public Debt Markets Adjust Amid Colombia’s S&P Credit Downgrade

The persistence of fiscal imbalances motivated the downgrade of Colombia's credit rating by S&P.
Posted On April 27, 2026
, By Loren Moss
Bogotá headquarters of Banco de la República (Banrepublica). Photo credit Juan Enrique Rodríguez, courtesy Banrepublica
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Colombia’s Central Bank Prepares to Raise Policy Rate to an Expected 12.00%

The emphasis of monetary policy will not only be on reaching a sufficiently contractive level, but on the duration of that stance.
Posted On April 27, 2026
, By Loren Moss
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