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The above IHME map shows the mean value (across the 1,000 regressions that IHME runs in its SEIR model) of effective reproductive number, R, on June 9. Infections on June 9 roughly correspond to cases of COVID-19 on June 20 given the average duration of 11 days between infection and being reported as a case. Where this value is greater than 1, it means that every person infected with COVID-19 will produce more than one additional infected person. To successfully eliminate a disease from a population, R needs to be less than 1. The map shows that on June 9 in many parts of the world, R was lower than 1, including many parts of North America, Europe, Africa, India, Australia, and New Zealand. Locations that are showing effective R values greater than 1, which means that the number of cases of COVID-19 in the population is growing, include several states in India, the US, Mexico, and Brazil, as well as many countries in the Southern Hemisphere, such as Argentina, Chile, and Indonesia. Several countries in the Middle East, including Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Yemen, as well as Turkey and Iran, also had R values greater than 1 as recently as two weeks ago.
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Up To 81,942 May Die In Colombia From COVID-19 Says University of Washington Institute

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington is forecasting nearly 388,300 people will die from COVID-19 in Latin American and Caribbean nations by October 1. Brazil is expected to exceed 166,000 deaths and Mexico 88,000. Six other...
Posted On June 29, 2020
, By Loren Moss
Image by Денис Марчук from Pixabay
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Latin American Governments’ Weak Public Finances Leave Them Ill-Equipped To Battle Coronavirus Recession: Fitch

According to Fitch Ratings, Latin America sovereigns' weak public finances make them particularly vulnerable to the coronavirus crisis by limiting both their counter-cyclical policy flexibility and their ability to support post-crisis economic recoveries. The pronounced negative...
Posted On June 8, 2020
, By Loren Moss
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Colombia Coordinating Humanitarian Repatriation Flights For Citizens Stranded Abroad

The Colombian government continues to arrange humanitarian flights to repatriate its citizens stranded abroad. To participate, Colombians must have previously registered with their respective Colombian Consulates to qualify for these flights, and must pay the ticket cost.
Posted On June 1, 2020
, By Loren Moss
Photo courtesy of Copa Airlines
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Copa Airlines Contemplates Total Temporary Shutdown of Operations

With travel restrictions in place due to the Coronavirus COVID-19 pandemic, Copa Airlines issued a filing indicating that the company will reduce capacity by 80% but may shut down completely.
Posted On March 17, 2020
, By Loren Moss
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Coronavirus A Threat To Colombia, Latam Economies, Even Without Infections Says Fitch

Sovereign and corporate issuers in Latin America will be adversely affected by slower Chinese demand and commodity price weakness caused by coronavirus due to high commodity export dependence and direct trade exposure to China, says Fitch Ratings.
Posted On February 27, 2020
, By Loren Moss
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Colombian Event Platform Rebus Raises $415,000 Seed Round

Rebus, a Colombian event and ticketing platform launched in 2017 and led by co-founder Juliana Villalba Torres, has raised $415,000 in seed funding from several angel investors, including Angel Ventures, Magma Partners, Enlaces, Quake Capital, Avalancha Ventures and several...
Posted On January 29, 2020
, By Loren Moss
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Álvaro Guillermo Rendón López Is Installed as New Head of EPM

Medellín’s new mayor Daniel Quintero appointed attorney Álvaro Guillermo Rendón López as the new general manager of Colombia’s largest utility company Empresas Públicas de Medellín, or EPM. Rendón was installed on January 2, replacing outgoing engineer Jorgé Londoño De La Cuesta,...
Posted On January 13, 2020
, By Loren Moss
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Avianca in SEC Filing: “We Are Currently In Payment Default”

Avianca: "Our business may not succeed even if the Re-profiling Plan is successful and the Stakeholder Investment is consummated."
Posted On September 3, 2019
, By Loren Moss
Beautiful Colombian woman shops at PriceSmart
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PriceSmart To Open 3rd Bogotá-Area Store, 8th In Colombia

PriceSmart, Inc. (NASDAQ: PSMT) today announced that on August 21, 2019, it acquired approximately 111,000 square feet of land in the far north of the capital city, Bogotá upon which the company plans to construct its 47th warehouse club.  This club will be located within the...
Posted On August 27, 2019
, By Loren Moss
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Moody’s Downgrades Lifemiles Loyalty Program To B2

Moody’s Investors Service last week downgraded to B2 from Ba2 LifeMiles Ltd.’s corporate family and senior secured ratings. The outlook has been revised to negative from stable. LifeMiles, Ltd. is a coalition loyalty, program and the sole operator of Avianca...
Posted On August 5, 2019
, By Loren Moss
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