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Grupo Cibest Expects Colombia to Raise Rates to 12.50% and the Fed to Hold
Analysts now see 2026 inflation at 6.83%, more than double the target, with another increase expected from both banks in December.
Posted On October 26, 2026
Tag
//Fiscal Deficit
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Banco de la República’s Leonardo Villar Links the Colombian Peso’s Surge to Deficit Financing
Villar calls it a paradox: a deficit that should sink a currency lifted the peso, and low-skilled wages rose more than 50% in dollars.
Posted On October 2, 2026
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Grupo Cibest Cuts Colombia’s 2027 Growth Forecast as Fiscal Adjustment Tests the Investment Rebound
Grupo Cibest sees 2027 growth anywhere from 0.9% to 3.9% as El Niño, a 7.9% deficit and a 12% policy rate test the rebound.
Posted On September 28, 2026
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What Jumps Out: Dollar or Dolor?
Colombia’s incoming administration faces a currency challenge as the peso’s strength pressures exporters, tourism and investment.
Posted On August 4, 2026
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Bancolombia Analysts Warn Colombia’s Low Unemployment Masks Deteriorating Job Quality
While Colombia's jobless rate is low, analysts from Bancolombia say the jobs are vulnerably reliant on public spending, and lower-paying.
Posted On July 28, 2026
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Colombia’s Tax Collection Reached $162.6 Trillion COP in Six Months, Grupo Cibest Trackers Show
Domestic VAT, the financial transactions tax, and income tax powered the gains, while fuel, wealth, and foreign VAT revenues lagged.
Posted On July 28, 2026
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Grupo Cibest Cuts Colombia’s 2026 Growth Forecast to 2.6% as Inflation and Fiscal Risks Mount
The mid-year update also lifts the bank's policy-rate call to 12.75% and trims its peso forecast as remittances hit records.
Posted On July 13, 2026
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Colombia’s Peso Rallies 7.4% in June as the Election Result Overrides a Hostile Global Backdrop
A stronger dollar and a 21% oil slump battered peers, yet Colombia's currency broke ranks. Bancolombia explains why - and where it goes next.
Posted On July 7, 2026
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Bancolombia Says Colombia’s TES Rally Outruns a Fiscal Picture Its Own Government Plays Down
Colombia's TES curve rallied after the election, but Bancolombia warns the government's 5.3% deficit target looks too optimistic.
Posted On June 30, 2026
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Fitch Analysis: Colombia’s High-Stakes Election Runoff to Shape Economic Policy
Fitch warns Colombia's fiscal gap requires a 4%-of-GDP adjustment — whoever wins the June 21 runoff faces the same uphill climb.
Posted On June 3, 2026
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