There is little question that the country is going in the right direction, even the unemployment data for September was considerably better than expected.
The “line in the sand” fiscal rule has now gone but due to the measures taken there is the hope that the deficit will drop from the anticipated 8.6% in 2021 to 2.7% in 2026.
This is a country with problems, unquestionably, poverty has risen, there is discontent with the Government's actions in several respects and the current account situation speaks for itself. BUT, this is a country that for decades has built itself against a backdrop of problems...
We have seen a slight rebound over recent sessions as the peso recovers from the perfect storm of a lost investment grade, a wobbly oil price and forthcoming elections. Another major factor for the peso will be exports and there was good news on that front for July.
Another aspect is the normalization tax complementary to income tax. This 17% tax would be reincorporated with the purpose of normalizing omitted assets or nonexistent liabilities, and would be in force for the year 2022. During 2021 an advance payment of 50% must be made.