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The “line in the sand” fiscal rule has now gone but due to the measures taken there is the hope that the deficit will drop from the anticipated 8.6% in 2021 to 2.7% in 2026.

This is a country with problems, unquestionably, poverty has risen, there is discontent with the Government's actions in several respects and the current account situation speaks for itself. BUT, this is a country that for decades has built itself against a backdrop of problems...

84.5% of what Colombia exports to the world in non-mining, non fuel products goes to countries with which the country has a current free trade agreement. Today there are 17 bilateral and multilateral trade agreements with approximately 65 countries. Growth in exports to these...

We have seen a slight rebound over recent sessions as the peso recovers from the perfect storm of a lost investment grade, a wobbly oil price and forthcoming elections. Another major factor for the peso will be exports and there was good news on that front for July.

55% of Colombians support more trade barriers to imports of foreign goods and services, while a majority of 54% of Colombians still agree that “Overall, globalization is a good thing for my country.”

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The sovereign downgrade reflects the deterioration of the public finances with large fiscal deficits in 2020-2022, a rising government debt level, and reduced confidence around the capacity of the government to credibly place debt on a downward path in the coming years.

All three agencies said publicly many months ago that they were looking for the tax reform to right the fiscal ship which has been listing badly ever since COVID struck - to put it bluntly, the authorities have failed to deliver - and it is on them.

Colombia's gross general government debt to GDP ratio is forecast to reach 60.8% in 2021, more than double the 30% level when Fitch upgraded Colombia back to the 'BBB' category in 2011.

Monday saw the latest surveys released by Fedesarrollo - the Financial Opinion Survey (FOS) & Stock Market Confidence Indices (SMCI) - for the month of June. The overall confidence number stands at 96.97% which is up 5.1% from May - breaking that down we see other improvements.