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Colombia's gross general government debt to GDP ratio is forecast to reach 60.8% in 2021, more than double the 30% level when Fitch upgraded Colombia back to the 'BBB' category in 2011.

The move further weakens Colombia’s precarious financial position brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic, causing an almost 7% contraction in the country’s economy. Fitch may likely downgrade Colombia as well, as the country already sits at the firm’s lowest investment grade before...