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//el niño
What Jumps Out - Rupert Stebbings BVC
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What Jumps Out: Colombian Peso on Watch Amid Middle East Conflict, Bogotá Faces Water Rationing

The potential for wider conflict won't be a question for today, but thus far, the currency reaction appears calmer than expected.
Posted On April 16, 2024
, By Rupert Stebbings
• Gringos gone wild! “Cannabis Jimmy,” Californian pot producer caught near Medellín.
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Colombian Economy Stalling, Alvaro Uribe Prosecution Advances, “Cannabis Jimmy” Captured

Gringos gone wild! “Cannabis Jimmy,” Californian pot producer caught near Medellín; Uribe's prosecution, extreme job loss, drought conditions
Posted On April 13, 2024
, By Loren Moss
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In Colombia, Inflation and Rain Are Hopefully Both Falling Again

Fedesarrollo's survey projects March inflation to drop to 7.34% — and continue falling to hit 5.51% by year-end.
Posted On April 2, 2024
, By Rupert Stebbings
Banco de la República, the central bank of Colombia, in Bogotá. (Photo credit: Camilo Sanchez)
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Colombian Central Bank Cut Interest Rates — by the Bare Minimum

Banco de la República cut by 50 bps to 12.25%, but despite words expressing the "magnitude" of the cut, it was the absolute minimum they could have done.
Posted On March 28, 2024
, By Rupert Stebbings
Above photo: «Ecopetrol» de Dvalencia – Own work, used under license CC BY-SA 3.0 vía Wikimedia Commons - https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Ecopetrol.jpg#/media/File:Ecopetrol.jpg
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Inflation, Ecopterol and Pension Reform to Make Headlines this Week in Colombia

Ecopetrol has been a dividend cash cow for many years, but those days are surely coming to an end.
Posted On March 4, 2024
, By Rupert Stebbings
What Jumps Out - Rupert Stebbings BVC
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What Jumps Out: Be Careful What You Wish For

For 2024, Fedesarrollo is projecting GDP growth of 1.4% and a year-end CPI of 5.4%
Posted On February 25, 2024
, By Rupert Stebbings
colombia inflation rate peso 50 mil banco de la republica central bank Colombian peso Colombia peso Colombia inflation Colombia minimum wage colombian peso
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All Eyes Are Watching Inflation Data this Week in Colombia

The hope is that we will see another decline for January, but some are concerned about how the 12% minimum wage increase and El Niño have affected prices.
Posted On February 6, 2024
, By Rupert Stebbings
What Jumps Out - Rupert Stebbings BVC
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What Jumps Out: A Redemption Week Ahead in Colombia and the Central Bank?

In the face of all the recent data, rocket science is not required from the central bank to make a large rate cut.
Posted On January 30, 2024
, By Rupert Stebbings
What Jumps Out - Rupert Stebbings BVC
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What Jumps Out: A False Narrative Gains Steam Amid More Opinion Poll Mumbo Jumbo

Despite the new narrative, the peso is where it should be — and Colombia's currency is hardly ever touched by domestic events.
Posted On December 19, 2023
, By Rupert Stebbings
Banco de la República, the central bank of Colombia, in Bogotá. (Photo credit: Camilo Sanchez)
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What Will the Colombian Central Bank Do After a Better Inflation Print?

Will Banco de la República upgrade its November meeting to a "decision" meeting in order to cut rates from 13.25% and start the easing cycle?
Posted On November 11, 2023
, By Rupert Stebbings
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