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//el niño
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In Colombia, Inflation and Rain Are Hopefully Both Falling Again

Fedesarrollo's survey projects March inflation to drop to 7.34% — and continue falling to hit 5.51% by year-end.
Posted On April 2, 2024
, By Rupert Stebbings
Banco de la República, the central bank of Colombia, in Bogotá. (Photo credit: Camilo Sanchez)
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Colombian Central Bank Cut Interest Rates — by the Bare Minimum

Banco de la República cut by 50 bps to 12.25%, but despite words expressing the "magnitude" of the cut, it was the absolute minimum they could have done.
Posted On March 28, 2024
, By Rupert Stebbings
Above photo: «Ecopetrol» de Dvalencia – Own work, used under license CC BY-SA 3.0 vía Wikimedia Commons - https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Ecopetrol.jpg#/media/File:Ecopetrol.jpg
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Inflation, Ecopterol and Pension Reform to Make Headlines this Week in Colombia

Ecopetrol has been a dividend cash cow for many years, but those days are surely coming to an end.
Posted On March 4, 2024
, By Rupert Stebbings
What Jumps Out - Rupert Stebbings BVC
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What Jumps Out: Be Careful What You Wish For

For 2024, Fedesarrollo is projecting GDP growth of 1.4% and a year-end CPI of 5.4%
Posted On February 25, 2024
, By Rupert Stebbings
colombia inflation rate peso 50 mil banco de la republica central bank Colombian peso Colombia peso Colombia inflation Colombia minimum wage colombian peso
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All Eyes Are Watching Inflation Data this Week in Colombia

The hope is that we will see another decline for January, but some are concerned about how the 12% minimum wage increase and El Niño have affected prices.
Posted On February 6, 2024
, By Rupert Stebbings
What Jumps Out - Rupert Stebbings BVC
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What Jumps Out: A Redemption Week Ahead in Colombia and the Central Bank?

In the face of all the recent data, rocket science is not required from the central bank to make a large rate cut.
Posted On January 30, 2024
, By Rupert Stebbings
What Jumps Out - Rupert Stebbings BVC
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What Jumps Out: A False Narrative Gains Steam Amid More Opinion Poll Mumbo Jumbo

Despite the new narrative, the peso is where it should be — and Colombia's currency is hardly ever touched by domestic events.
Posted On December 19, 2023
, By Rupert Stebbings
Banco de la República, the central bank of Colombia, in Bogotá. (Photo credit: Camilo Sanchez)
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What Will the Colombian Central Bank Do After a Better Inflation Print?

Will Banco de la República upgrade its November meeting to a "decision" meeting in order to cut rates from 13.25% and start the easing cycle?
Posted On November 11, 2023
, By Rupert Stebbings
Banco de la Republica, the central bank of Colombia, in Bogotá.
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What Jumps Out: Colombia Gets Back to Business After Regional and Local Elections

Banco de la República left interest rates at 13.25%, a terminal rate that needs to come down ASAP. The cut doesn't need to be radical but at least signal that the easing cycle has begun.
Posted On November 3, 2023
, By Rupert Stebbings
Tax calculator
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What Jumps Out: Who Will Pay the Bills?

Much of the private sector continues to think that a sovereign nation can continue to operate, pay the bills, and support all the public services required even with everyone paying the minimum taxes possible.
Posted On October 21, 2023
, By Rupert Stebbings
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